Forex Analysis & Reviews: 01.02.2019 - Fundamental Analysis of...

01.02.2019 03:14 PM

Fundamental Analysis of NZDJPY for February 1, 2019

NZD/JPY has been quite impulsive and volatile under the recent bullish momentum which led the price towards 75.50 area recently. JPY has been quite solid in light of the latest economic reports, whereas NZD might lose ground after the positive Trade Balance report.

Recently New Zealand's Trade Balance report showed a proficit at 264M from the previous deficit of -955M, analysts had expected more modest proficit at 255M. This significant change in the Trade Balance helped NZD to attract market sentiment, but sustainability against JPY may fade in the coming days. Recently Japan's Finance Minister defended the government's view that incomes are rising despite the challenges faced by the economy earlier. Today, Japan's Unemployment Report showed decrease to 2.4% which was expected to be unchanged at 2.5% and Final Manufacturing PMI ticked up to 50.3 instead of the flat forecast at 50.0. Despite the massive monetary stimulus over 6 years, Japan's wages have been creeping with the muted growth. The recent monitoring revealed positive changes.

Meanwhile, JPY has found support from the economic reports published throughout the week, it but could not gain momentum against NZD. Ahead of employment reports from New Zealand to be published next week, JPY is expected to regain some grounds in the coming days which might strengthen further if NZD fails to provide good economic data in the future.

Now let us look at the technical view. The price is being held by the GANN Grid Lines as resistance while being supported by the dynamic level of 20 EMA throughout the bullish pressure in the pair. The price recently bounced off the 75.50 area with strong bearish momentum which is expected to lead the price towards 74.50 and later towards 73.00 area in the future. As the price remains below 75.50 area with a daily close, the bearish bias is expected to continue.

SUPPORT: 73.00, 74.50

RESISTANCE: 75.50, 77.00

BIAS: BULLISH

MOMENTUM: VOLATILE

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*Disclaimer: The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

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