empty
26.03.2025 07:03 AM
What to Pay Attention to on March 26? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports:

This image is no longer relevant

Very few macroeconomic events are scheduled for Wednesday, and only one important report is expected. The UK will release what may seem like a significant inflation report. Inflation remains a key factor for the Bank of England when determining the parameters of its monetary policy. However, only the second estimate for February will be published today, and the second estimates rarely differ from the first. As Andrew Bailey noted last week, inflation in the UK continues to rise and may increase even further. Therefore, regardless of the actual CPI figure, there is little reason to expect a sharp drop in the pound based on this report. In the U.S., a report on durable goods orders will be released today. Since this category of goods is relatively expensive, it offers insight into American consumers' willingness to make high-cost purchases.

Analysis of Fundamental Events:

This image is no longer relevant

Among Tuesday's fundamental events were Federal Reserve officials Neel Kashkari and Alberto Musalem's speeches. However, the last Fed meeting occurred just last week, and Jerome Powell clearly outlined the central bank's position for the coming months. It is unlikely that Kashkari or Musalem will add anything new. In any case, the Fed's monetary policy currently holds little weight with traders. They continue to focus solely on Trump and his trade policy.

General Conclusions:

During the third trading day of the week, both currency pairs may continue the downward movement that has been building over recent weeks. Both pairs have settled below their ascending channels, and the Fed's stance allows the dollar to reclaim some of its unjustly lost ground. Of course, no one knows when Trump will announce new trade tariffs or what they will look like, but even this factor cannot endlessly provoke a decline in the dollar. At present, the British pound is more inclined toward flat trading than toward a downward correction.

Key Rules for the Trading System:

  1. Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.
  2. False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.
  3. Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.
  4. Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.
  5. MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.
  6. Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone.
  7. Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 15–20 pips in the desired direction.

Key Chart Elements:

Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders.

Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading.

MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals.

Important speeches and reports, which are consistently featured in the news calendar, can significantly influence the movement of a currency pair. Therefore, during their release, it is advisable to trade with caution or consider exiting the market to avoid potential sharp price reversals against the prior trend.

Beginners in the Forex market should understand that not every transaction will be profitable. Developing a clear trading strategy and practicing effective money management are crucial for achieving long-term success in trading.

Paolo Greco,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

GBP/USD Overview – May 8: The Tesla Crisis as the Apex of Trump's Policy

The GBP/USD currency pair traded relatively calmly for most of Wednesday despite the evening FOMC meeting. As per our usual approach, we won't be analyzing the results of that meeting

Paolo Greco 03:39 2025-05-08 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – May 8: A First Step Toward De-escalation?

The EUR/USD currency pair continued to trade sideways for most of Wednesday. There was a minor upward movement, but as a reminder, the pair has now been range-bound for three

Paolo Greco 03:39 2025-05-08 UTC+2

EUR/USD: Awaiting the Geneva Meeting

The EUR/USD pair continues to trade within a narrow price range ahead of announcing the Federal Reserve's May meeting results. Although the outcome is largely predetermined (the central bank

Irina Manzenko 00:47 2025-05-08 UTC+2

The Dollar Initiates Talks

Can the Fed Take the Spotlight? Or will the White House's tariff policy continue to overshadow the central bank's actions? The upcoming FOMC meeting and the start of U.S.–China negotiations

Marek Petkovich 00:47 2025-05-08 UTC+2

Commodity Currencies Decline Ahead of FOMC Meeting: NZD/USD Overview

The labor market report from New Zealand, published on Wednesday, is the last major release before the RBNZ meeting at the end of May. Notably, instead of clarifying the outlook

Kuvat Raharjo 00:47 2025-05-08 UTC+2

The Fed to Hold Rates Despite Pressure

The euro and the pound remain range-bound ahead of a key meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve, where officials are expected to leave interest rates unchanged as they await clarity

Jakub Novak 19:49 2025-05-07 UTC+2

USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

Today, the Japanese yen reached a new daily low, which contributed to the rise of the USD/JPY pair to nearly the 143.50 level. This increase is driven by positive global

Irina Yanina 19:33 2025-05-07 UTC+2

NZD/USD. Analysis and Forecast

The NZD/USD pair is pulling back from a more than two-week high in the 0.6025–0.6030 level. Currently, the quotes have fallen below the psychological level of 0.6000, signaling a pause

Irina Yanina 19:31 2025-05-07 UTC+2

U.S. Trade Deficit Hits Record High in March

The euro responded with an increase following the news that the U.S. trade deficit rose to a record level in March this year, as companies rushed to import goods, including

Jakub Novak 10:48 2025-05-07 UTC+2

Markets Will Not Be Dictated To

The market's eyes have finally opened. Donald Trump is not the kind of president who would lower tariffs in response to reciprocal reductions from other countries. The occupant

Marek Petkovich 09:56 2025-05-07 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.